Week 8 SOS breakdowns
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| Updated October 28, 2009 JunkyardJake.Com |
In this column we will be highlighting some of the team defenses that aren’t among the best in the league, but might be able to help you if you are one of those people who play the rotating game with your DEF, or if your team is on bye. I will not tell you to start any of the following in this article because they are no brainers:
Baltimore Ravens, Pittsburgh Steelers, New York Giants, New York Jets, Green Bay Packers, San Diego Chargers, Philadelphia Eagles, Minnesota Vikings
New Orleans Saints at Miami Dolphins. Miami is also coming off their bye week, and those of you who watched them dismantle the Jets defense might not think this is a good pick, but hear me out. I know Chad Henne had that beautiful bomb to Ted Ginn last Monday, but let's be realistic, the Dolphins are a pretty one dimensional offense and that is the run game. The Dolphins are the number one rated run offense with over 175 yards per game on the ground, which is more than the passing yards that they average. So, what is the strength of the New Orleans' defense? That's right, they are tough against the run. The Saints allow just 83 yards per game on the ground, and have given up just four rushing touchdowns. New Orleans is also has forced the most turnovers in the NFL with 15, and has sacked the quarterback 12 times. It should be a great matchup of a great run team against a great run defense, but besides the fact that I think the Saints will win that matchup, New Orleans will also put up enough points that the Dolphins won't be able to run as much because they will be playing catchup. I can't see the Dolphins scoring 20 points, unless there is a lot of garbage time like last week when New Orleans played the Giants.
Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys. The Falcons have been on a nasty roll the past two weeks, giving up just 24 points in those games. Dallas was on bye last week, but the last time we saw them they needed a late touchdown and a Herculean effort from their number three receiver to beat the lowly Chiefs. But it is not just the directions the team's are going that make this pick. The Falcons have been studly on defense all year long as they are giving up just an average of 15.4 points a game, not to mention that they are among the league's best at forcing turnovers with 12. Atlanta is just middle of the pack as far as getting to the quarterback, as they have 10 sacks in their first five games, but John Abraham could go nuts without warning. I could see the Cowboys scoring about 17 points, but they are also pretty likely to turn the ball over a couple of times. Dallas has only committed eight turnovers to this point, but they have just looked sluggish in their past couple games, and I could see the Falcons making them do a few things that they don't want to do.
Buffalo Bills at Carolina Panthers. This pick is much like the New Orleans pick, except the opposite. The Bills are the worst defense in the NFL against the run, and what does the entire Carolina offense revolve around? That's right, the run game. Both DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart were over 100 yards and a touchdown last week, and it seems that they are ready to roll now while they had struggled most of the season. Buffalo has allowed one 181 yards a game on the ground, and I could see the Panthers getting way more than that on Sunday. The rest of the fantasy stats don't really make it seem like this is a good play, as Buffalo is pretty good at forcing turnovers with 11, and have gotten to the quarterback 14 times this season. Carolina is only scoring 17 points a game and are one of the worst at turning the ball over with 17 giveaways. But believe me the Bills are going to get run all over this week and the Panthers are going to be able to put up at least 24 points and maybe turn the ball over once at the most. If you are looking for a defense out there, there is a better choice than Buffalo.
San Francisco 49ers at Houston Texans. The San Francisco defense was great to start the year before getting absolutely torched by the Falcons, and now they have another tough matchup in the Texans on the road. Houston has been a great offense scoring almost 24 points a game. They only have turned the ball over nine times, and allowed Matt Schaub to be sacked just ten times. The Texans are passing the ball for 292 yards and 14 touchdowns in their first six games, which is very impressive. San Francisco has been giving up 234 yards per game through the air, and I could certainly see Schaub throwing for 300 yards or at least close to it with two or three touchdowns. San Francisco continues to struggle putting pressure on the quarterback as they have only gotten 11 sacks on the season. It could be ugly again for San Francisco as they are facing an even better offense even than in Atlanta, and they haven't been doing the secondary things that will give them enough points to make up for the fact that the Texans will score on Sunday.
I welcome your comments and questions at fightingchancefantasy@gmail.com. I can help you with roster questions, who to start/sit, etc. I guarantee a response within 18 hours.
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| Updated October 21, 2009 JunkyardJake.Com |
Baltimore Ravens, Pittsburgh Steelers, New York Giants, New York Jets, Green Bay Packers, San Diego Chargers, Philadelphia Eagles, Minnesota Vikings
Washington Redskins vs. Kansas City Chiefs. There is plenty of turmoil in Washington right now as it seems that they are on the borderline of lots of changes with the team. However, the Redskins' defense hasn't been all that bad. I mean they aren't an every week starting team, but when they have a solid matchup like this week against the Chiefs, they are worth playing if your team is on bye. To this point of the season, the Redskins are only allowing 16.4 points per game, while their opponent this week, the Kansas City Chiefs are only scoring 16.8 points a game. The Redskins have been average at best so far in the turnover and sacks department with seven takeaways, and ten QB sacks through five games. That is really what is keeping them from being the type of team that you can continue to start. However, they stand a chance to score some points this week due to the terrible Chiefs' offensive line. That group has allowed 17 sacks through five games, and if the 'Skins can hold them to under 17 points and roll up three or four sacks, they will be worth putting in your lineup for one week.
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers. It might look bad that the Panthers have allowed 26 points a game to this point, but they have been doing much better in the past two weeks. They gave up 66 points in the first two games, and just 38 points in the past two. However, the Panthers have really been struggling the past two weeks and have just five turnovers on the year. The good news is the Panthers are playing Tampa Bay who might be ther worst team in the NFL. The Bucs are scoring just 13.6 points a game, have given up eight sacks, and and are among the worst with eight giveaways, including seven INTs. They still have Josh Johnson at quarterback, who really appears to be a turnover waiting to happen, which is good news for the Panthers. A few years ago the Panthers were among the best defenses in the NFL, but that was a long time ago, and right now they are just a bye week replacement when they have a cupcake matchup like they do on Sunday.
Houston Texans at Cincinnati Bengals. Coming into the year, I thought the Texans had a chance for their defense to be one of the up and comers in the league. Starting with Mario Williams up front and Dunta Robinson in the secondary, it seemed like they had a great young nucleus for the future. However, so far it hasn't worked out that way. Houston is allowing 24 points a game, and through five games the rest of the fantasy stats are just not good. How they only have six sacks through five games is beyond me, although their eight forced turnovers aren't bad. They are playing the Bengals this week who are the big story this year as they continue to win games. However, they are not doing it pretty, and are pretty much pulling games out of the hat in the last minute. But Carson Palmer is healthy, and is starting to look more and more like the quarterback we remember before the knee and elbow injuries. He has at least a touchdown pass in the last four games, and his running back Cedric Benson is having one of the best seasons in the NFL. They have allowed two sacks a game on Palmer, and have turned the ball over eight times, but four of those were INTs in the first two weeks. I can see the Bengals scoring 28 points and only giving up one or two sacks and maybe one turnover. I would stay away from using Houston this week.
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks. I'm going to start this one with the sacks and turnovers, and then we will go into the rest of the defense. The Cardinals have recorded a decent eight sacks, and also six turnovers. So, at that point they don't look too bad. However, right now the Seahawks are on a roll as a passing game and the Cardinals are the worst defense against the pass as far as yardage is concerned. This is not a good matchup this week for the Cardinals. Seattle has scored 23 points a game, which is pretty impressive considering they were without their starting quarterback for the better part of three games. In the two games that Hasselbeck has played the 'Hawks but up 69 points. Hasselbeck only threw two picks in his two games, and he was only a part of two of the ten sacks that Seattle has allowed. Seattle's offense has been a whole different game when Hasselbeck is in there, and the storm of a bad pass defense and a hot offense makes the Cardinals a team to stay away from.
I welcome your comments and questions at fightingchancefantasy@gmail.com. I can help you with roster questions, who to start/sit, etc. I guarantee a response within 18 hours.
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| Updated October 14, 2009 JunkyardJake.Com |
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| Updated October 8, 2009 JunkyardJake.Com |